USDA Long-Term Meat Trade Projections: A Comprehensive Evaluation

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract The profitability of U.S. meat producers and the utility consumers are impacted by trade meat. USDA publishes most prominent publicly available projections. This study finds projections typically underpredict export volumes overpredict import volumes. outperform naïve for beef pork exports, but at times chicken exports imports, especially shorter horizons. exclude variety cuts, which comprise a sizeable share exports. There remains room improvement in projecting trade.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1074-0708', '2056-7405']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/aae.2023.13